Environment and Ecology Research Vol. 3(1), pp. 24 - 33
DOI: 10.13189/eer.2015.030104
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Trend Analysis of Weather Parameters and People Perception in Kullu District of Western Himalayan Region


Vidya, R K Aggarwal 1,*, P K Mahajan 2, Y S Negi 1,3, S K Bhardwaj 1
1 Department of Environmental Science, Dr Y S Parmar University of Horticulture & Forestry, India
2 Department of Basic Sciences, Dr Y S Parmar University of Horticulture & Forestry, India
3 Department of Business Management, Dr Y S Parmar University of Horticulture & Forestry, India

ABSTRACT

The trends of important weather parameters in Kullu district of hilly state have been presented. The season wise analysis showed that there is no explicit linear trend in weather parameters over a period of time. The increasing and decreasing trends were observed in all the season as the cubic function showed to be the best fit. Among the analyzed weather parameters maximum temperature cubic function was to best fit with significant r2 value of 0.57, for minimum temperature and relative humidity r2 value was 0.67 and 0.62 respectively. In order to know the impact of climate change and people's perception about climate change, a survey was conducted. About 42.72% people perceived there is 30-50% decrease in productivity of cereal crops, while in case of fruits 28.64% people perceived that there is 20-30% increase in productivity and for same commodity 15.05% people also assumed there is 10-20% decrease in productivity and 13.60% believed there has been no change in productivity for fruits. In case of vegetable 53.88% respondent anticipated that there is 30-50% increase in productivity. The perception about the productivity of pulses showed that 26.70% believing slight increase in productivity while some perceived moderate increase in productivity and some anticipated no change in productivity.

KEYWORDS
Weather Parameters, Trend Pattern, People Perception, Climate Change

Cite This Paper in IEEE or APA Citation Styles
(a). IEEE Format:
[1] Vidya, R K Aggarwal , P K Mahajan , Y S Negi , S K Bhardwaj , "Trend Analysis of Weather Parameters and People Perception in Kullu District of Western Himalayan Region," Environment and Ecology Research, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 24 - 33, 2015. DOI: 10.13189/eer.2015.030104.

(b). APA Format:
Vidya, R K Aggarwal , P K Mahajan , Y S Negi , S K Bhardwaj (2015). Trend Analysis of Weather Parameters and People Perception in Kullu District of Western Himalayan Region. Environment and Ecology Research, 3(1), 24 - 33. DOI: 10.13189/eer.2015.030104.