Universal Journal of Agricultural Research Vol. 9(5), pp. 156 - 165
DOI: 10.13189/ujar.2021.090502
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Assessing the Availability of Rice by Using System Dynamics Approach in West Java, Indonesia

Maun Jamaludin ^1,*, Teddy Hikmat Fauzi ¹, Yuyun Yuniarti ¹, Mulyaningsih ^2
1 Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Social and Political Sciences, Pasundan University, Bandung, West Java, Indonesia
² Department of Public Administration, Graduate Faculty, Garut University, West Java, Indonesia

ABSTRACT

This study aims to determine the dynamics of the rice availability system in West Java in terms of production and consumption, to obtain important variables that become the leverage point for determining rice availability. This study uses a case study method using the "System Dynamics" approach by using a database of actual production and population from 2014 to 2015, and using it as an estimate of rice availability until 2025. By using actual data of the annual average growth between 2014 and 2019 amounted to 2.81 % for rice production, and of 1.12% for the population, the estimated rice availability is projected until 2025. Specifically, the analysis of Causal Loop Diagrams (CLD) and Stock and Flow Diagrams (SFD) shows that productivity and availability of paddy fields are two important variables that can provide a significant influence on the rice production system as a whole. The findings underscore the importance of productivity and land area as the basis for the study of developing a policy model to ensure the availability of rice in West Java. Theoretically, the findings can be used as a conceptual basis for projecting sustainable rice availability in an area. The results of this study practically have implications for the need to increase productivity and governance of agriculture and rice trade as a policy basis to ensure the availability of rice in West Java.

KEYWORDS
Rice Availability, Food Security, System Dynamics

Cite This Paper in IEEE or APA Citation Styles
(a). IEEE Format:
[1] Maun Jamaludin , Teddy Hikmat Fauzi , Yuyun Yuniarti , Mulyaningsih , "Assessing the Availability of Rice by Using System Dynamics Approach in West Java, Indonesia," Universal Journal of Agricultural Research, Vol. 9, No. 5, pp. 156 - 165, 2021. DOI: 10.13189/ujar.2021.090502.

(b). APA Format:
Maun Jamaludin , Teddy Hikmat Fauzi , Yuyun Yuniarti , Mulyaningsih (2021). Assessing the Availability of Rice by Using System Dynamics Approach in West Java, Indonesia. Universal Journal of Agricultural Research, 9(5), 156 - 165. DOI: 10.13189/ujar.2021.090502.